Scott M. Mourtgos
Publications Posts Dashboards CV
Publications Posts Dashboards CV

Interactive Dashboards

Criminogenic Entropy: Tracking the Structural Drivers of Crime

An interactive look at how 15 structural conditions — jobs, housing, mobility, trust, policing, and more — jointly track the long-run rise and fall of U.S. crime (1970–2023). Includes a what-if simulator that lets you adjust each condition and see how entropy, and therefore crime, responds, plus scenario projections to 2033. Based on the working paper by Mourtgos & Adams.

crime trends criminogenic entropy Bayesian dynamic factor model forecasting
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Did Banning Deceptive Interrogation Tactics Affect Juvenile Case Outcomes?

Interactive dashboard presenting results from a staggered difference-in-differences analysis of state-level bans on deceptive interrogation tactics for juveniles. Uses NIBRS data covering 510,582 juvenile incidents across 2021-2024.

juvenile justice interrogation difference-in-differences NIBRS
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The Risk of False Confession Wrongful Convictions

An interactive Bayesian framework for estimating how often lawful interrogation tactics contribute to wrongful convictions of the innocent. Based on Mourtgos & Adams (2026), Journal of Criminal Justice.

false confessions wrongful convictions Bayesian simulation interrogation
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© 2026 Scott M. Mourtgos