Interactive Dashboards

What Do Laboratory False Confession Paradigms Measure?

A guided walkthrough of a calibration meta-analysis of 41 laboratory false confession studies (99 conditions, ~3,700 participants). The pooled false confession rate is 41% — and 37% of participants confess in the control condition. Interactive calibration tools show why those numbers are incompatible with any plausible real-world rate, and what the paradigms are more likely measuring: low-stakes compliance. Based on Mourtgos & Adams (in press), Journal of Quantitative Criminology.

false confessions meta-analysis construct validity Bayesian interrogation
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Seeing Confessions Clearly: Diagnosticity, Risk, and Signal Detection

For two decades the interrogation literature has graded techniques with a single ratio — true confessions divided by false confessions. Move two sliders and watch that ratio swing while the method’s actual ability to tell guilty from innocent stays frozen. Reanalyzes Russano et al. (2005), where the ranking by that ratio matches the ranking by confession threshold exactly, and the ranking by discriminability hardly at all. Based on the CrimRxiv preprint by Mourtgos, Blair & Adams.

false confessions signal detection theory measurement interrogation
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Criminogenic Entropy: Tracking the Structural Drivers of Crime

An interactive look at how 15 structural conditions — jobs, housing, mobility, trust, policing, and more — jointly track the long-run rise and fall of U.S. crime (1970–2023). Includes a what-if simulator that lets you adjust each condition and see how entropy, and therefore crime, responds, plus scenario projections to 2033. Based on the CrimRxiv preprint by Mourtgos & Adams.

crime trends criminogenic entropy Bayesian dynamic factor model forecasting
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Did Banning Deceptive Interrogation Tactics Affect Juvenile Case Outcomes?

Interactive dashboard presenting results from a staggered difference-in-differences analysis of state-level bans on deceptive interrogation tactics for juveniles. Uses NIBRS data covering 510,582 juvenile incidents across 2021-2024.

juvenile justice interrogation difference-in-differences NIBRS
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The Risk of False Confession Wrongful Convictions

An interactive Bayesian framework for estimating how often lawful interrogation tactics contribute to wrongful convictions of the innocent. Based on Mourtgos & Adams (2026), Journal of Criminal Justice.

false confessions wrongful convictions Bayesian simulation interrogation
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